-- SEVERE WEATHER is a possibility showing up across portions of the Northeast, once again, and possibly in a small region of the Central Plains and Western Missouri Valley ...
-- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES are continuing to dominate the weather pattern across the Northern Great Basin and extending into the Northern Rockies ... Today's top story on this Wednesday SEMCF National Forecast Analysis from SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst begins with the Severe Weather threat persisting across portions of the aforementioned regions listed above ... We are continuing under the influence of upper-air patterns being established by a series of trough setting up across a few regions of the Nation ... Very strong amplified ridge is keeping temperatures WELL ABOVE seasonal averaging across the Great Basin and Northern Rockies ... Cyclonic flow trough pattern with shortwave disturbances riding across the Great Lakes, Upper Midwest, Appalachians, and into the Northeast / Mid-Atlantic ... A lot of moisture of flowing into the trough that is allowing for the threat for rain showers and strong to severe storms in the forecast ... Weak disturbance across the Rio Grande Valley of SW Texas is keeping the conditional threat for showers and strong to conditionally marginal severe threat for storms there ... There is a weak boundary in the vicinity to provide just enough forcing and lift with some instability in place for the threat ... We are looking at a SLIGHT RISK for severe weather for today and tonight's forecast across portions of Eastern NY into Central New England ... A small region from Central Kansas to Western Missouri where we could see a few storms capable of producing STRONG DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH, LARGE HAIL to 1 possibly 2" in DIAMETER, and a we can't rule out a TORNADO or Two in the threat ... Conditional MARGINAL RISK regions, we can expect a few storms to contain ISOLATED GUSTY to DAMAGING WINDS of 40 to 60 MPH and LARGE HAIL to 1" in DIAMETER, and possibly can't rule out a WEAK, BRIEF TORNADO ... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Respectfully Yours, David L Saurer SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst
0 Comments
-- SEVERE WEATHER is in the forecast for this afternoon and this evening with LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN / FLASH FLOODING POSSIBILITIES across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast ...
-- CONTINUATION of ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES prevailing across the Interior Pacific Northwest and Great Basin will begin to shift into the Northern Rockies ... Today's top story on this Tuesday edition of the SEMCF National Weather Analysis from Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst, David Saurer, begins with the Severe Weather threat persisting across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast with a SLIGHT RISK in place across northern New York and Vermont to Northern Virginia and DC metro area ... Conditional Marginal Threat will persist surrounding the Slight Risk clear to eastern North Carolina ... eastern Kansas through western Illinois ... majority of Missouri ... and northern Arkansas ... southern Louisiana ... and finally, portions of Washington and Oregon Interior ... We have a progressive and highly amplified pattern persisting across the majority of the northern areas of the Nation allowing a series of shortwaves and cold frontal boundaries on through With plenty of cyclonic flow ongoing as well across the West Coast and the trough in the East and Southeast being established ... With the severe weather threat in the Slight Risk region, we can expected LARGE HAIL to 2" in DIAMETER, and DAMAGING WINDS to 60 MPH, a CONDITIONAL BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO or TWO can't be ruled out as well ... Conditional Marginal Threat could see a few cells reaching severe criteria for ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH and ISOLATED LARGE HAIL to 1" in DIAMETER ... Want to also mention a series of cold frontal boundaries will keep conditions rather wet, cool, and unsettled for a large majority of the Midwest, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England region with plenty of rain showers and a few weak thunderstorms throughout the week ahead ... We also have to mention a large ridge of high pressure over the West Coast through the Rockies is bringing some very warm conditions for late May standards with highs reaching as much as 10 - 15 degrees above average, especially across the Pacific Northwest Interior where temperatures are forecast well into the 70s and 80s, once again ... This will begin to shift into the Northern Rockies today to the mid-week ... We will start to turn much cooler with the arrival of a new Pacific storm system with a cold frontal boundary that will swing through by mid-week... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Have a wonderful Thursday! Remember to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst David L. Saurer -- SEVERE WEATHER is in the forecast for this afternoon and this evening with LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN / FLASH FLOODING POSSIBILITIES across the Southeast / Gulf Coastal States ... -- CONTINUATION of ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES prevailing across the Interior Pacific Northwest and Great Basin.... Today's top story on this Memorial Day AM Edition of our Weather Planner on the National Storm Channel begins with the Severe Weather threat persisting across portions of the Southeast and Gulf Coastal states ... A SLIGHT RISK has been introduced by The Storm Prediction Center in the aforementioned region ... daytime heating will bring some instability into the atmosphere across the Slight Risk region with the cold frontal boundary allowing for the mechanism for forcing and lift ahead of the front ... These storms will be multiple cells with a couple supercells a possibility ... The forecast models are showing a rather modest shear, not as strong as the previous couple days back when we had the seriousness of the wind threat across the Mid Section to the Ohio / Missouri / Mississippi / Tennessee Valley, but enough is there to condition a few severe storms capable of producing DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH, SOME LARGE HAIL to 1" in DIAMETER, and a WEAK, BRIEF TORNADO can't be ruled out ... The biggest threat will be HEAVY RAINFALL with the potential for FLASH FLOODING and PONDING ON THE ROADWAYS ... Want to also mention a series of cold frontal boundaries will keep conditions rather wet, cool, and unsettled for a large majority of the Midwest, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England region with plenty of rain showers and a few weak thunderstorms throughout the week ahead ... We also have to mention a large ridge of high pressure over the West Coast through the Rockies is bringing some very warm conditions for late May standards with highs reaching as much as 25 degrees above average, especially across the Pacific Northwest Interior where temperatures are forecast well into the 90s, once again ... This will begin to shift into the Northern Rockies by mid-week with the approach of a new Pacific storm system into the Northwest to bring the end to the hot temperatures.... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... The staff of SEMCF want to wish everyone a Happy Memorial Day! Be sure to take a moment of reflection of the sacrifices of our men and women in uniform ... REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, David Saurer SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst -- SEVERE WEATHER and LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL in the forecast for today across the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic states with SLIGHT and CONDITIONAL MARGINAL RISK ... -- TURNING VERY WARM conditions across the interior Pacific Northwest ... Today's top story of the SEMCF National Weather Analysis Forecast from Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst is, once again, another round of potential severe weather erupting across portions of the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic .... A lot of features setting the stage up for today's forecast with a feature digging out of Southern Canada with a long range ridge across Western Mexico into the Great Basin to the Northwest Territories of Canada ... Then we have a shortwave having a moisture feeder from the Upper Midwest into the Central Plains that is expected to progress into Lower Great Lakes, Missouri Valley, and portions of the Southern Plains ... Cold frontal boundary is expected to move eastward, plenty of instability ahead of the frontal boundary will provide force and lifting ... Surface maps has a warm front over the Upper Ohio Valley with a weak low pressure over the Lower Ohio Valley that will support some instability as well ... The atmosphere has finally brought some stabilization into the Southern Plains into the Mid-South, however, some daytime heating will re-establish a destabilization forecast for the region to allow for scattered severe storms in the afternoon to evening before the lost of daytime heating will lessen the threat ... SLIGHT RISK is in place across portions of Southern Texas into portions of Central Alabama ... Central / Eastern North Carolina into Southeastern Lower Michigan where the PRIMARY THREAT will be mainly DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH, LARGE HAIL .25 - 2" in DIAMETER, and very low end threat for a BRIEF WEAK TORNADO or TWO in the forecast ... CONDITIONAL MARGINAL THREAT persist between and surrounding the Slight Risk which will have ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS 40 - 60 MPH and ISOLATED LARGE HAIL to 1" in DIAMETER ... We want to mention the reasonings for the well above normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest is a high pressure ridge aloft in the atmosphere that promoting the warm and generally dry conditions in the region ... A cold front is expected to sag into the Northern Rockies bringing the opportunity for some showers and storms ... The warmest conditions will prevail in the interior Pacific Northwest where temperatures are forecast up to 25 degrees above late May to early June standards ... Forecast highs well into the 90s expected ... So be aware of this factor.... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Have a wonderful Sunday and REMEMBER, REMAIN WEATHER AWARE!!! Respectfully yours, SEMCF LEAD FORECASTER / LEAD WEATHER ANALYST David Saurer -- SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL DESTRUCTIVE EVENT across portions of the Central / Southern Plains ... Mid Missouri / Mid Mississippi / Lower Ohio Valley ... CONDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER for the Mid-Atlantic and Mid / Upper Ohio Valley .... -- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE temperatures for late May expected for the Pacific Northwest .... Top story of the Saturday edition of the National Weather Analysis from SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analysis, David Saurer, will be the severe weather potential destructive event underway in the aforementioned regions above for this afternoon and this evening's forecast .... The greatest potential risk for destructive severe weather is shaping up across portions of Southeastern Kansas .. Northeastern Oklahoma .. Northern Arkansas .. Central / Southern Missouri .. Southern Illinois .. Western Kentucky ... and Western Tennessee where ingredients are becoming concerning and violent in the atmosphere with HIGH CAPE VALUES, SUFFICIENT THETA AXIS OF MOISTURE FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM, WINDS at the MID-LEVELS of the ATMOSPHERE is reaching greater than > 60 KTS feeding out of the west - southwest to give this significant updraft motions and lift / forcing along the frontal boundary which will override the dryline and the outflow boundary with two cold pools converging over the aforementioned region, but particularly in Oklahoma extending into Southwestern Texas ... The BIGGEST THREAT we are looking at is WIDESPREAD SEVERE WIND GUSTS from 70 - 80 MPH a good possibility from the Middle Missouri Valley into the Lower Ohio Valley ... Additionally to this wind threat .. VERY LARGE to GIANT HAIL exceeding > 3" in DIAMETER is expected and FEW to SEVERAL TORNADOES, INCLUDING some INTENSE TORNADOES could become a possibility from the Red River Valley and extending northeastward into Middle Missouri / Middle Mississippi Valley .. Now in the ENHANCED / SLIGHT / and MARGINAL THREAT .. We can see the potential for DAMAGING WINDS to 60 MPH, LARGE HAIL .25 to 2" in DIAMETER, and a COUPLE TORNADOES for the Tennessee / Mid Ohio Valley, and portions of the Mid-Atlantic ... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Please adhere to all SEVERE WEATHER ALERTS, if a warning is issued, SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY! Have a wonderful Saturday and REMEMBER, REMAIN WEATHER AWARE!!! Respectfully Yours, David Saurer SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst SEVERE WEATHER SPECIAL EDITION SEMCF LEAD FORECASTER / LEAD WEATHER ANALYST David Saurer Good afternoon! We have a situation unfolding for tomorrow's severe weather event forecast to become a very concerning matter with The Storm Prediction Center UPGRADING portions of the Ozark Plateau into the Lower Ohio Valley as a MODERATE RISK ... ENHANCED RISK is from Eastern Oklahoma and Kansas into the majority of Kentucky ... SLIGHT RISK from the Central - Southern Plains into the Southern Appalachians ... Conditional Marginal Risk around the Slight Risk ... There are many many factors that are still in question about how or if it will appear to become a serious event ... There is a strong, upper-level low that is sagging southeastward out of Manitoba, Canada that we are closely watching ... There is a mid-level shortwave from the Rockies that will be colliding into the low sagging southeastward .. Mid to upper-level flow is generating the conditions to warrant the possibilities of severe weather coming out of the west and southwest that will be the key to one ingredient that will feed a convective system of storms from OK and KS extending on eastward through the afternoon and evening on Saturday ... Here is another factor, developing low at the surface is forming across the Central / Southern Plains that will have a trailing cold frontal boundary that will go through the ENHANCED RISK region .. Dryline will be extending into Southward along the OK and TX border at the TRIPLE POINT being in Northern Oklahoma ... The biggest KEY to the whole event of this will be if the CAP can break across the OZARK Plateau and portions of the Central / Southern Plains ... We are noticing a lack of immediate synoptic forcing along with limited areal coverage ... Now, if the MCS that is expected to swing on through during the AM hours and we get the synopic lift in place ... We definitely got a big problem on our hands... Now, I've been discussing this with a mentor from the National Weather Service and mentors and friends throughout the meteorological community for all the reasonings behind this ... TIME FRAME: Late Afternoon through Mid-Evening ( 4 to 8 PM EDT) There is a shot this could develop earlier if storms get a going in the open warm sector.... Forecast is definitely going to consist of the following: WIDESPREAD SEVERE WIND GUSTS EVENT ... Considerable Damaging Winds reaching up to possibly 70 - 80 mph in the ENHANCED RISK region ... Large / Very Large / Severe Size Hail is a GOOD POSSIBILITY where the forcing is the strongest in the supercells, FEW EMBEDDED TORNADOES are a GOOD POSSIBILITY with this system as well ... WIDESPREAD PROPERTY DAMAGE and WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES are definitely warranted for this event ... Severe Weather Precautions will be HIGHLY NECESSARY for this event ... Preparations need to be taken right now to prepare yourselves for threatening weather conditions ... NOAA WEATHER RADIO is you best opportunity to stay informed with the latest forecast, statements, and weather alerts ... Weather.gov is another option if need be ... Smartphone apps of FEMA and the AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are good options .. STORM SHIELD as well ... Of course, following your local media weather outlet is another great source to keep informed ... We will be watching all the forecast updates, models, and data throughout the evening and the morning hours of Saturday to make sure to update of any changes to the forecast ... We want to wish you all a pleasant Friday and PLEASE REMEMBER, REMAIN WEATHER AWARE!!! Respectfully Yours, David Saurer SEMCF LEAD FORECASTER / LEAD WEATHER ANALYST -- SEVERE WEATHER with SLIGHT RISK in motion across Central High Plains ... Conditions threat of MARGINAL RISK across Southern WY / Northeastern UT extending to the KY / IN Border ...
-- TEMPERATURES warming up across the Pacific Northwest for the Holiday Weekend ahead ... Top story of Friday's National Weather Analysis from SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst, David Saurer, will be the severe weather event underway for this afternoon and evening across portions of the aforementioned regions listed above ... Waves of disturbances are riding the trough set up across the Plains and Eastern portions of the Nation ... Currently, we have a frontal boundary interacting with the first low pressure wave that will set up the stage for today's severe weather event ... For tomorrow's forecast, it is a very concerning one indeed .. one wave of low pressure will progress into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic providing for rain showers and thunderstorms .. then, the big event that we are watching very closely ... An upper-level disturbance progressing out of the Rockies is going to interact with the frontal boundary across the Plains with a developing dryline across the Central / Southern Plains with all the severe weather parameters in place, we could be seeing a rather significant event underway for Saturday's forecast ... More details on this in a further update coming tonight... For today's severe weather event .. Several cells will contain LARGE HAIL and DAMAGING WIND GUSTS across the Central High Plains for this afternoon and evening ... A COUPLE TORNADOES can't be ruled out with this ... In the Conditional Marginal Risk region .. We can expect some ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS and CONDITIONAL LARGE HAIL to persist in aforementioned regions ... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Have a wonderful Friday and Remember, REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, David Saurer SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst -- SLIGHT RISK for severe storms for today and tonight across the Central High Plains .... CONDITIONAL MARGINAL THREAT persist across the Mid-Atlantic ... Central / Eastern Rockies ... Southern Florida .... -- HEAVY RAINFALL a good possibility to persist across portions of the New England Coastal Region... Top story of the SEMCF National Forecast Analysis from Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst, David Saurer, will be the severe weather event underway for this afternoon and evening across portions of the aforementioned regions listed above ... The upper-level low we've been watching on the forecast models have to progressed over to the Northern Plains with the trailing shortwave trough in persistent digging into the Northern Rockies .. upslope flow is going to favor the convective development out of Northeastern Colorado and entering into Northwestern Kansas ... A few supercells could very well develop out of this feature to allow for DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH, LARGE HAIL TO 1 to 1.5" in DIAMETER, and a POSSIBILITY of a COUPLE WEAK TORNADOES not out of the question despite the VERY LOW THREAT PERSISTING FOR NOW ... In the CONDITIONAL MARGINAL THREAT, we could very well see a few strong to just above criteria for a severe cells or two capable of ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH and some LARGE HAIL from .25 to 1" in DIAMETER .... Another weather feature that is on our mind is the low pressure storm system over the Ohio Valley that is slowly weakening and this progresses into the Northeast and New England region ... A large region of rain showers and embedded thunderstorms will affect a long portion of the Lower Great Lakes into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic .. Some of the rainfall will be heavy at times across portions of New England, so be aware of that factor ... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Have a wonderful Thursday and PLEASE REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer -- ENHANCED and SLIGHT RISK for severe storms are expected in today's forecast across the majority of the Southeast / Extreme Southern Mid-Atlantic ... SLIGHT will be for the TN Valley / Southern Appalachians / Southeast as well ....
-- HEAVY RAINFALL with potential for FLASH FLOODING persisting in today's forecast across the state of Florida ... Top story of the National Forecast Analysis from SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst will be the severe weather event underway for this afternoon and evening across portions of the Southeast into the Carolina Piedmont with a SLIGHT RISK going into the TN Valley and Southern Appalachians to surrounding the ENHANCED RISK ... TORNADO WATCH is already in effect across portions FL and GA through 3 PM EDT ... There will be other watches going out momentarily specifically for the TN Valley into the Southern Appalachians and portions of South Carolina ... The upper-level low we've been watching on the forecast models have amplified over the Lower Missouri Valley and it is pushing to the south and southeast with the amplified trough building in the Eastern portions of the Nation settled up the unsettled pattern and wet conditions ... Severe storms are expected for a large portions of the aforementioned region through tonight's forecast with potential for DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS to 70 MPH, LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL up to 2" in DIAMETER (LOCALLY HIGHER COULD BE A POSSIBILITY), and FEW TORNADOES will definitely be happening ... Other isolated thunderstorms will happen as far north as the Mid Ohio Valley ... Very active day of weather is in store ... Be sure to practice your SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS for today's event ... Listening to NOAA WEATHER RADIO if you do have one for all the latest statements, forecast, watches and warnings as they are issued ... If not, you can follow along with weather.gov for the latest statements ... On your smartphone, FEMA app on both platform, as well as, AMERICAN RED CROSS - TORNADO are great apps to follow the latest alerts ... Finally, if you are remaining at home, the best bet will be following your local forecast with your favorite media weather outlets ... Have a great Wednesday and REMEMBER TO REMAIN WEATHER AWARE!!! Respectfully Yours, David L Saurer SEMCF LEAD FORECASTER / LEAD WEATHER ANALYST The topic of today's national forecast analysis from SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst will be the severe weather event underway for this afternoon and evening across portions South / South-Central Texas along with the Southeastern region of the Nation where a SLIGHT RISK persist for today and tonight's forecast ... Conditional MARGINAL THREAT persist for portions of Texas to the Coastal Carolinas and well as a small region in the State of Illinois... The pattern has amplified across the nation with a prevalent threat of shortwave disturbances coming out of the amplified trough between the Rockies and the Appalachians being shown on the Surface Maps of our Models, this morning ... We will be dealing with multiple round of disturbances affecting a large part of the Southeast and South-Central portions of the nation on through the Midwest ... Today's SEVERE WEATHER THREAT will consist of a possibility of DAMAGING WINDS to 60 mph, LARGE to VERY LARGE HAIL event is a possibility across Southern Texas with hail measuring from .25 to 2" in diameter, in the Marginal Risk ... Mainly around a 1" in Diameter is the norm ... We also can't rule out a FEW TORNADOES, especially, in the Coastal Carolina region for the forecast ... Be on alert, following NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or your local weather media outlet for all the latest statements, forecasts, and possible weather alerts .... Remain Weather Aware! Have a wonderful Tuesday! Respectfully Yours, David L Saurer SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst -- SLIGHT RISK for SEVERE STORMS across portions of the Southern High Plains... -- HEAVY RAINFALL a possibility across the Mid-Atlantic Coast into the Southeast and to the Central and Western Gulf Coastal Region... Top story of the SEMCF NATIONAL ANALYSIS FORECAST will be the severe weather event underway for this afternoon and evening across portions of Eastern New Mexico into portions of Western Texas where SLIGHT RISK of severe thunderstorms are expected ... We do a conditional threat for severe weather in other portions of the Nation from the Central and Southern Plains to the Upper Midwest ... We also have an area of conditional threat around the Gulf Coast into the Southeast ... We are still under the pattern dominated by an upper-level trough that evolve over the entire Nation to the East of the Rockies, with multiple disturbances cross the Plains and the Gulf Coast providing for the showers and thunderstorms in the forecast ... PRIMARY THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH, LARGE HAIL to 1" in DIAMETER, and can't rule out a TORNADO or TWO in the SLIGHT RISK region... Along with the threat of severe weather, keep in mind, very heavy rainfall will associated with these disturbances and flash flooding is a possibility with the event ... Be aware! Have a wonderful Monday and REMEMBER, TO REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, David L Saurer, SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst
This concludes the summary for your Sunday ... Have a great one and REMEMBER TO REMAIN WEATHER AWARE!!!
Respectfully Yours, David L Saurer SEMCF Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analysis |