SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather is not expecting any severe weather for your outlook ... Thunderstorms are NOT expected anywhere across the Continental Lower 48 ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a frontal boundary extending across the Upper Great Lakes through the Middle Mississippi Valley and then onward to the Central Rockies that will proceed eastward to the Central and Northern Appalachians across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Western Gulf Coast by tomorrow PM. This storm system is responsible in producing a round of snow over portions of the Upper Great Lakes extending to the Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Rockies expecting to proceed eastward to the Lower Great Lakes and Northeast by this afternoon ... Overnight on Wednesday, this snow axis is expected to proceed for the Northern New England reigon, ending by tomorrow PM. In addition to Wednesday PM and overnight, a secondary boundary proceeds into the Upper Great Lakes producing more snowfall over portions of the Upper Great Lakes into the Upper Mississippi Valley that will then continue over the Great Lakes through tomorrow night. On Thursday as this primary frontal boundary proceeds for the Appalachians, snow and rain showers will develop along the boundary layer over the Southern Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley into portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley later on Thursday AM .. The rain showers will then continue along the frontal boundary from the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Southern Ohio and Tennessee Valleys through Thursday PM. Finally, meanwhile, watching an upper-level energy wave over the Northern Rockies that will proceed southeastward to the Middle Mississippi Valley by Thursday PM. This energy will aid in producing snow showers over portions of the Northern Rockies that will proceed over the region through Thursday PM .. Dome of the snowfall proceeds into portions of the Central Rockies on Thursday AM waning by Thursday PM ... Furthermore, looking at Pacific onshore flow aiding in producing coastal rainfall and higher elevation snowfall over portions of the Pacific Northwest that will continue through Thursday PM ... HAVE A GREAT WEDNESDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer
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SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather is not expecting any severe weather for your outlook ... Thunderstorms are NOT expected anywhere across the Continental Lower 48 ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a deep, upper-level trough in place over the Mid-Atlantic and Lower Great Lakes that is expected to proceed off the Northeast Coastal Regions by the overnight on Tuesday ... This system is responsible for light snow showers over portions of the Lower Great Lakes and Central Appalachians into portions of the Mid-Atlantic and New England expecting to wane by this evening ... Meanwhile, a frontal boundary over the Northern High Plains and Northern Rockies stretching to portions of the Northwest is expecting to proceed to the Upper Great Lakes, Middle Mississippi Valley and Southern High Plains by Wednesday PM .. This snow axis will expand into portions of the Northern High Plains for your Wednesday's outlook through Wednesday PM .. As this boundary proceeds eastward, snow showers will develop over portions of the Upper Mississippi Valley by this afternoon and expanding into the Upper Great Lakes by the overnight Tuesday with the snow showers waning over the Upper Mississippi Valley by Wednesday AM .. Also for Wednesday, expecting the snow showers to proceed eastward into the Lower Great Lakes into portions of the Northeast by Wednesday PM .. Finally, elsewhere, onshore Pacific flow over the Pacific Northwest is expecting to gradually produce coastal rain shower and higher elevation snow showers over portions of the Northwest through Wednesday PM into Thursday ... HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, SEMCF and TRAPT'S LEAD FORECASTER and LEAD WEATHER ANALYST David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather is not expecting any severe weather for your outlook ... However, Some thunderstorm activity is a possibility across portions of the Florida Peninsula and adjacent locations of the Southeast for late this afternoon and tonight, particularily Northern Florida ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a frontal boundary along the Eastern Seaboard expected to proceed slowly out over the Western Atlantic by Monday PM .. Moisture is expected to pool along the boundary layer aiding in developing rain showers from Southern New England extending the axis southward to the Southeast and Central Gulf Coast and as far west as the Central Appalachians and eastern Ohio Valley to the Tennessee Valley that is expected to proceed slowly off the Northeast coastal regions by tonight ... By Monday PM, expecting the rain showers to be confined to mainly the Northern Mid-Atlantic coastal regions and Southeastern Florida ... In addition to this feature, another feature of upper-level energy is expected over the Northern High Plains that is proceeding southeastward to the Ohio Valley by tomorrow PM .. This energy will be responsible for some snow fall over portions of the Northern Rockies and Northern High Plains that is expected to dissipate for tonight .. Overnight Sunday, this energy wave will then proceed to produce a mix of rain and snow showers for portions of the Middle Mississippi and Western Ohio Valley that will then proceed eastward to the Lower Great Lakes and eastern Ohio Valley as light snow showers and some light rain showers by Monday PM ... Finally, meanwhile, a plume of moisture we've been watching closely is expecting to stream into the Pacific Northwest for today's outlook that will slowly begin to wane by tomorrow PM .. This moisture is expecting to produce some rain shower and higher elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest that is expecting to become confined in the Olympic Peninsula and portions of the Northern Intermountain Region by tonight ... Rain showers are expected to proceed southward into Northern Oregon Coastal Region by tomorrow PM ... On Monday into Monday PM, the rain showers will become heavy at times .. OVernight tonight into Monday PM, the snowfall levels will slowly begin to lower as upper-level troughing proceeds into the Northwest ... HAVE A GREAT SUNDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Weather Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather is not expecting any severe weather for your outlook ... However, Some thunderstorm activity is a possibility near the Upper Texas Gulf Coast to Louisiana coastal areas througout today's forecast, however, the risk for severe weather is very low at this time ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a frontal boundary extending across the Great Lakes southwestward to the Southern Plains that will then proceed east off the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic coastal regions by tomorrow PM while remaining in place over portions of the Southern Mid-Atlantic coastal areas into the Southeast and Eastern Gulf Coastal regions for Sunday night ... Moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will pool along the boundary aiding in the development of rainfall for the Central and Western Gulf Coastal areas to the Western Ohio Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley that will then expand and proceed eastward and expand the axis of precipitation northward to into the Lower Great Lakes to the Central and Western Gulf Coastal areas by tomorrow PM ... The rainfall is expected to be heavy at times across the Central Gulf Coast for today's outlook ... As this frontal boundary proceed eastward, the rainfall will proceed off the majority of the Northeast Coastal areas by Sunday PM .. Likewise, the rain showers along the southern half of the boundary will proceed eastward into the Southern Mid-Atlantic and Southeast by Sunday PM, too .. Overnight tonight into Sunday AM, the rainfall will end West to east over the Central and Western Gulf Coast ... Meanwhile, a plume of moisture we've been watching is expected to proceed into the Pacific Northwest and Northern California through Sunday PM as the axis of moisture proceeds northward into Southwestern Canadian coastal regions .. This moisture will aid in producing mainly rainfall along the coast and higher elevation snowfall over the Pacific Northwest and Northern California mountains with the snow axis extending on eastward over portions of the Northern Rockies for tonight into Sunday AM's outlook ... As this moisture axis proceeds northward, the rainfall and higher elevation snowfall will end over Northern California for overnight Saturday with the rainfall and higher elevation snowfall continuing over portions of the Pacific Northwest and snow showers over portons of the Northern Rockies and Northern High Plains .. Additionally, upper-level ridging will then develop over the Northwest and the snowfall levels will rise back up on Saturday into Sunday's outlook ... HAVE A GREAT SATURDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather is not expecting any severe weather for your outlook ... However, some isolated storms are a possibility near the Coastal Regions of Texas and Louisiana for tonight ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has an upper level system and trough over the Northern Rockies responsible for producing some snowfall over the region through this evening as this trough proceeds eastward to the Upper Great Lakes for Saturday AM, some rain showers will be in motion ... The upper level energy proceeding onshore over the Pacific Northwest will proceed eastward by tomorrow PM into the Northern Rockies spreading a surge of moisture from the Pacific and this will bring continuation of snowfall over the Northern Rockies through Sunday AM .. In addition to that, onshore flow will also aid in producing rain and snow showers for the Pacific Northwest, and the rain will be heavy at times in the coastal regions with the heavy snow in the Cascades ... Meanwhile, looking at a frontal boundary and system over the Northern Plains and Central High Plains going into the Southwest will procced eastward into the Lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley extending into the Lower Mississippi Valley, Southern Plains, and Western Gulf Coast by tomorrow PM ... Moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico is expected to stream on north and northeastward into the Central and Southern Plains ahead of the boundary for today, and then into the Northeast and Great Lakes for your Saturday ... The atmosphere is expected to moisten as rainfall develops in the Great Lakes by tonight and light rain and embedded thunderstorms developing over the Southern Plains as well ... Overnight Friday into Saturday, rain will fill in along and ahead of the frontal boundary ... By tomorrow PM, the rain showers will proceed eastward to the Lower Great Lakes and Eastern Ohio Valley to the Central and Western Gulf Coast .. The rain showers over the Central Gulf Coast into the Southern Ohio Valley will become heavy at times ... A secondary cold frontal boundary over West-Central Canada will proceed southeastward to the Upper Great Lakes to the Middle Missouri Valley into the Northern High Plains for tomorrow PM .. Light scattered snow showers will develop over portions of the Upper Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi Valley for tomorrow AM and into PM ... HAVE A GREAT FRIDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecast and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather is not expecting any severe weather for your outlook ... However, some isolated storms are a possibility on the coastal areas of the Pacific Northwest through portions of Northern California through tonight's forecast ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has high pressure and warmer temperatures expanding across the Central portions of the Nation to the Eastern Seaboard through the weekend with afternoon highs approaching above late January standards from the 40s across the southern portions of the Northeast to the 50s and lower 60s across the Mid-Atlantic and the upper 60s to lower 70s in the Southeast by Sunday's forecast .. Majority of the Central and Eastern portions of the Nation will be mainly dry through the end of the week, expect for the Southern Texas where some scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will be mainly likely .. The majority of the West Coast, Great Basin, and Intermountain regions will remain in a presistent wet flow pattern as a Pacific cold frontal boundary proceeds through the Intermountain West into the High Plains ... Heavy rainfall will span from the Washington coastal regions southward to portions of northern California and heavy snowfall in the forecast for the Cascades and northern Rockies ... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES and WINTER STORM WARNINGS in effect for portions of the Cascades, southwestern Oregon, and northern California, as well as, a few counties in Idaho and southwest Montana ... Finally, although the intensity of the snowfall is waning this morning, accumulations of one to two feet of snowfall will be a likelihood in the mountains by this afternoon ... Another surge of moisture is spreading across the Pacific Northwest by the end of the weekend as the next Pacific storm system approaches the coastal regions ... Heavy coastal rainfall and heavy mountain snowfall will be likely to develop for Washington and Oregon beginning Saturday ... HAVE A GREAT THURSDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather threat will bring a few strong to possible marginally severe storms across the Tidewater and Coastal Mid-Atlantic regions where The Storm Prediction Center has issued a MARGINAL RISK for storms with damaging winds and a brief spin up tornado or two a possibility ahead and along the cold frontal boundary ... The graphics has more details on this event ... Once again, please follow your sources for your forecast and stay WEATHER AWARE on the latest! NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has the winter storm system that brought to widespread snowfall and freezing rain to the Central/Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley for Monday will continue to proceed northeastward through the Lower Great Lakes for today and exiting into New England by very early tomorrow AM ... Precipitation could go through a brief transistioning period where freezing rain could occur this afternoon; but will change back over to all snowfall as it continues across portions of the Great Lakes region and the Northeast through Wednesday ... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES and WINTER STORM WARNINGS remain in effect for portions of the Great Lakes and the majority of New England ... Additionally, the associated cold frontal boundary will sweep through the Ohio Valley and snow will develop and spread to the higher elevation of the Central Appalachians as well as, portions of the Northern Mid-Atlantic by late this afternoon and evening hours ... Showers and thunderstorms have begun developing along and ahead of the trailing cold frontal boundary and spreading eastward towards the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast .. The showers and storms are expected to exit the Eastern Seaboard by tonight ... Finally, the Pacific Northwest and northern California will remain in a presistent wet pattern with upper-level energy and onshore flow spreading rainfall and mountain snowfall through the region .. A plume of moisture ahead of an upper-level trough will proceed into portions of the Pacific Northwest for today and for the Northern Intermountain Region by tonight and Wednesday into Northern California as well .. Coastal rainfall and higher elevation snowfall is in the forecast for the majority of the Northwest for tdoay before spreading eastward .. Snows will be heavy at times for the majority of the cascades, northern portions of the Sierras, the Blue Mountains, and the Bitteroots into the Northern Rockies with this set up ... HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Today's severe weather threat will focus on some isolated incidents of strong to marginally severe storms across the central and eastern Gulf Coastal states and portions of northern Illinois where a MARGINAL RISK has been issued by The Storm Prediction Center ... The main threat for DAMAGING WINDS of 40 - 60 mph with locally higher gusts a possibility .. Can't rule out a brief, spin up tornado or two as well ... Power outages are possible along with downed trees and power lines as well ... Be on alert and take severe weather precautions if you are in the threat region ... The graphics has more details on this event ... Once again, please follow your sources for your forecast and stay WEATHER AWARE on the latest! NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a good looking storm system churning up some BLIZZARD WARNINGS, WINTER STORM WARNINGS, and WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES from eastern Colorado to Upper Michigan, with a few counties across Upstate New York, Vermont, and northern Maine involved as well .. This storm system will have significant impact on travel; with many roadways having treacherous or impossible driving conditions ... Check with the National Weather Service for the latest forecast and conditions in the area you are expecting to travel too .. Winter Weather Precautions are necessary as well to allow extra travel time and carry an emergency kit with essentials if you must travel ... Widespread snowfall and rainfall will continue to spread an axis across the central and northern states as this winter storm system lifts on northeastward during the course of today through the Midwest and onto the Northeast for Wednesday's forecast .. This snow is expected to be heavy at times over portions of the Central Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley throughout today before tapering off to the Central Plains by this evening .. Snow is expecting to develop over the Upper Great Lakes and northern New England this afternoon with the axis expanding south and east to the lower lakes and Northeast continuing through Wednesday ... A narrow transition zone along the frontal boundary will support the threat for freezing rain before changing to all snow. Rainfall will be expected to expand into the Ohio Valley/Lower Great Lakes for the morning hours of today before proceeding into Southern New England by tonight and into the Northern Mid-Atlantic by early tomorrow AM .. In the transition zone between the rain and snow, rain/freezing rain will be expected to develop across the Great Lakes for today and into the New England region for tonight and into Tuesday ... Showers and thunderstorms will proceeds to portions of the Ohio Valley southward to the eastern Gulf Coast and then to portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast by tomorrow AM ... Finally, out in the Western portions of the Nation, upper-level energy is expected to proceed inland to the Pacific Northwest spreading rain and mountain snowfall from the Washington/California coastal region to the Northern Plains by Tuesday ... Snowfall is expected to be heavy at times over the cascades and Northern Intermountain West over the next few days ... Onshore Pacific flow will be expected to increase in threat for Tuesday into Wednesday as another Pacific storm system approaches from the Northwest ... HAVE A GREAT MONDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
SUNDAY, JANUARY 21ST, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today has our first severe weather legit threat of 2018 coming this afternoon and evening as a mid to upper levels of the atmosphere along with a great progressive, split flow pattern causing a rapidly, intensfying shortwave trough to progress east with a close up cyclone rapidly developing as well across the Eastern Colorado Rockies foothills ... Ahead of the system's cold frontal boundary, streaming Gulf of Mexico moisture will surge behind a strengthening warm frontal boundary across Central Plains into the Central and Lower Mississippi Valley ... Putting all the ingredients for low to mid level instability, just enough CAPE and HELICITY to spawn up a linear line of thunderstorms capable of causing some issues in the ARKLATEX region ... The Storm Prediction Center has placed a SLIGHT RISK for some damaging strong to severe thunderstorms as a possibility for late this afternoon and evening hours across Eastern Texas to Portions of Central and Northern Arkansas where DAMAGING WINDS of 40 - 60 mph with locally higher gusts are expected in this linear line of storms ... WE MUST STRETCH A FEW TORNADOES ARE A GOOD POSSIBILITY in this region as well ... HIGHLY RECOMMENDED YOU HAVE MULTIPLE SOURCES TO RECEIVE YOUR FORECASTS, STATEMENTS, AND WEATHER ALERTS! This is a concerning matter in which updates could alter the forecast as well ... Will definitely need to follow with the National Weather Service for continuous updates on this situation ... When a WARNING is issued, please be advised to take SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS and TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY TO AVOID DANGER! A MARGINAL RISK has been issued as well for late this afternoon and evening hours SURROUNDING the SLIGHT RISK region and this MARGINAL RISK extends further to the north into Northern Missouri ... A few strong to marginally severe storms could spawn a few DAMAGING WINDS threat in the region ... So be on the alert for this potential threat ... The graphics has more details on this event ... Once again, please follow your sources for your forecast and stay WEATHER AWARE on the latest! NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has the main story, once again, the frontal system and aforementioned boundary sweeping through the mid-section of the Nation that is quickly developing into rather a robust winter storm system in the cold sector beginning this evening and early Monday morning as this proceeds out of the Central and Southern Plains ... As I mentioned, the rich, warm Gulf of Mexico moisture is being drawn northward into the system and this is producing rather an impressive axis of widespread moderate to heavy snows from the Central/Northern Rockies into the Upper Mississippi Valley and extending eastward to the Great Lakes and then eventually, on Tuesday, into New England region ... Snowfall will be a likelihood, heavy at times, especially along the axis from Nebraska to Wisconsin .. Along and near the frontal boundary itself, a relatively narrow band of freezing rain is expected to develop as well .. Both types of precipitation is expected likely to impact travel throughout the regions through Tuesday ... MANY WEATHER ALERTS effecting Wyoming, Colorado, Northwestern Kansas, Nebraska, Southern South Dakota, Iowa, Southern Minnesota, and Northern Wisconsin with BLIZZARD WARNINGS, WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES, WINTER STORM WATCHES and WARNINGS as well ... Check the latest forecast and graphics on the alerts for all the details in your region and what to expect in the forecast for the hours to come .... As I mentioned above, rain showers and thunderstorms are expected to form along and ahead of the aforementioned trailing cold frontal boundary as it sweeps eastward through the mid-section of the Nation .. Periods of heavy rainfall will be a strong possibility across the Southern states, especially in the Missouri Valley and Ozarks of Arkansas and Missouri ... THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING is rising and elevated across the Eastern Tennessee and Ohio Valleys for today and Monday, extending into the Mid-Atlantic states for Monday PM into Tuesday ... Be aware of this factor ... Finally, the Pacific Northwest and northern California is expected to remain in a rather distinctive wet pattern for the week ahead as an upper-level energy wave proceeds inland from the Pacific .. Rainfall and higher elevation snowfall is expected to spread across the majority of the Pacific Northwest and northern California to the Northern Rockies for today's forecast .. This axis of precipitation is expected to expand into the Great Basin for Monday's forecast ... Heavy snowfall is in the forecast for the Cascades, as well as, portions of the Central and Northern Rockies where WINTER STORM WARNINGS and WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES are in effect for north-central Washington into northern California ... Be on alert and aware! HAVE A GREAT SUNDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster and Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
SATURDAY, JANUARY 20TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 ... A few thunderstorms are possible near portions of the Texas Gulf Coast ... Severe storms ARE NOT expected ... However, our attention will then turn to tomorrow and Monday's outlook for severe weather ... SUNDAY'S FORECAST bring an isolated severe thunderstorm risk for the afternoon and evening hours from eastern Texas into western Arkansas thanks to a strong, shortwave trough progressing through the region with a mid-level southwesterly flow ahead of the system allowing for some instability for possible gusty to damaging winds ... MARGINAL RISK is extending from portions of eastern Texas, southeastern Oklahoma, western Arkansas, and northwestern Louisiana ... MONDAY'S FORECAST the threat continues to shift on eastward with the same strong, shortwave trough with mid-level southwesterly flow bringing isolated risk for severe storms across the Central Gulf states and Southeast ahead of the cold frontal boundary ... A MARGINAL RISK is across this region for some gusty to isolated damaging winds in effect ... We will watch the dynamics closely and keep you all posted on the latest developments on this isolated severe weather event .... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a well-defined cold frontal boundary and the associated axis of precipitation continuing to sag southeastward into the Desert Southwest with a vast area spanning from the Sierra Nevada range, northern Arizona, and extending northward to the Rockies in Colorado which is expecting a mixture of rain and snow today, turning to mainly snowfall by this evening through Sunday ... The heaviest accumulations of snowfall will concentrate over the mountains of southwest Wyoming, Utah, and eastern Nevada for this afternoon's forecast ... As the frontal boundary progresses on eastward, so will the heaviest axis of precipitation .. Locally heavy snowfall is in the forecast for the central and southern Rockies for tonight and your Sunday's forecast .... An area of low pressure is expected to strengthen over the southern High Plains for the weekend and then proceed to the northeast into the Midwest ... In the colder sector of the system, an expansive axis of snowfall will span from the Rockies into the central High Plains for tonight's forecast, reaching the Upper Midwest by Sunday ... Snowfall intensity is expecting to be moderate to locally heavy at times and accompanied by very gusty winds ... WINTER STORM WATCHES out from eastern Wyoming and Colorado to northern Wisconsin ... Further south and ahead of of low's trailing associated cold frontal boundary, expecting an axis of rain showers and thunderstorms to develop, increasing in coverage and intensity across eastern Oklahoma and Texas into the mid and lower Mississippi Valley for Sunday afternoon and evening ... Some of these storms could be ISOLATED SEVERE for winds ... An active wet pattern is in motion for the weekend and into early next week across portions of the Pacific Northwest ... A couple of frontal boundaries are expected to proceed the region and spreading an axis of widespread rainfall and mountain snowfall as it heads towards the Intermountain West ... Heavy snowfall is expected for portions of the Cascades for the next few days ... Temperatures are expected to be near normal or below across the Western states under the trough ... Finally on the agenda, for the majority of the Eastern Seaboard, expecting ABOVE normal for mid January standards to stick around for the next few days as temperatures will soar to as much as 25 degrees above average ... HAVE A GREAT SATURDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
FRIDAY, JANUARY 19th, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 ... A few thunderstorms are possible near portions of the Texas Gulf Coast ... Severe storms ARE NOT expected ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a surface high pressure migrating across the Central and Eastern portions of the Nation for the weekend bringing the milder temperatures and drier conditions .. Temperatures will be near or warmer than average for Mid-January standards ... Across the Western states, unsettled weather and colder temperatures are expected to return to the forecast ... A cold frontal boundary will proceed through the Intermountain West ... with the leading edge sweeping through the Northern Plains for today while the Central and Southern flank progresses slowly through the Great Basin and Central Rockies this weekend ... Widespread snowfall will accompany the system, especially to the higher elevations of California, the Great Basin, and Central/Northern Rockies .. In addition to the colder temperatures, another frontal system forecast to approach the West Coast and Pacific Northwest, bringing in additional wet conditions to the region for the weekend outlook .... HAVE A GREAT FRIDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
THURSDAY, JANUARY 18TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 ... A few thunderstorms are a possibility over the Pacific Northwest for today's forecast with some small hail and gusty winds as a threat, but should remain BELOW severe criteria ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has shown this morning's low temperatures in the teens from eastern Texas into the Central Gulf Coastal regions, hope is now that warmer weather is on the way ... High pressure ridging currently situated over the Lower Mississippi Valley will slowly be shifting eastward in the next couple of days, allow for a southwesterly flow to bring in the warmer air from the Plains and Gulf of Mexico .. High temperatures across the Deep South will finally moderate some, however, still remaining up to 25 degrees below normal for today before the moderation .. They will climb to normal by Saturday with highs in Oklahoma, Texas, and Louisania warning up into the 60s and 70s, a major significant change from the snow and ice anticipated earlier in the week ... After the departure of the winter storm system from the Mid-Atlantic coastal regions this morning, majority of locations east of the Rockies will remain relatively dry through Saturday's forecast, except for some light snow showers in the vicinity of the Great Lakes and some showers over the eastern half of Texas extending into Louisiana on Friday through Saturday ... Finally, out in the Western states, a change in the upper-level pattern is expecting to allow for some infiltration of colder, Pacific air along with rain showers and higher elevation snowfall developing for the remainder of the week ahead .. Rain showers associated with the cold frontal boundary, a rain/snow mix is expected to develop across some of the higher elevations of California, Oregon, and Idaho ... By Saturday AM, majority of inland locations will be snowing with rain showers limited to inland valley and coastal locations along the West Coast .. Some more significant snowfall is expected for portions of Nevada into Utah beginning Friday and lasting through Saturday with accumulations possible ... WINTER STORM WATCHES already in place over portions of northeastern Nevada ... Temperatures are expected to fall below average for mid January standards west of the Rockies beginning on Saturday .... HAVE A GREAT THURSDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 17TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 as well as NO THUNDERSTORMS in the forecast anywhere across the Nation as well ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a strong cold frontal boundary proceeding eastward into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast for today and will set the stage for some accumulating snowfall across South-Central Virginia into Central North Carolina where WINTER WEATHER ALERTS are posted, this axis extends all the way to the coastal areas ... Rain showers will likely be the forecast along the eastern edges of the precipitation shield, but a transition to all snowfall is expected during the day and tonight across coastal North Carolina ... Two to four inches is expected with locally higher amounts "where bandings persist" is a possibility .. One to two inches along the coastal regions ending tomorrow AM. To the north, coastal rain showers expected for the Northeast with inland snow showers will fall for the majority of today's forecast with the greatest potential for up to four or more inches of snowfall extending from Central Massachusetts into eastern Maine before the snowfall ends with the departing surface low for tonight ... As high pressure, currently settled over the South, proceeds eastward over the next day or so, westerly to southwesterly flow will develop across the mid-section of the Nation allowing for a significant warm-up ... High temperatures are expected to rise into the 30s and even lower 40s for the Dakotas today and Thursday ... In fact, for Thursday's high, they will be almost 15 - 30 degrees above mid January standards across a large portion of the Nation extending into the Central and Northern Plains all the way to the West Coast ... Finally, across the Western states, a return to a wet pattern is expected to close out the week along the coastal areas with inland snowfall ... Light rain showers ahead of a warm frontal boundary is expected to procced into Coastal Oregon and Washington sometime today ... Rain will transition to snow showers behind the cold frontal boundary for the higher terrain with the heaviest accumulations in the Northern Washington Cascades through tomorrow AM ... HAVE A GREAT WEDNESDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster and Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
TUESDAY, JANUARY 16TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 as well as NO THUNDERSTORMS in the forecast anywhere across the Nation as well ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has bitterly cold temperatuers filtering in behind a cold frontal boundary that is continuing to allow a wintry mix in the forecast of snow, sleet, and freezing rain impacting portions of south-central into Southeastern Texas into Louisiana for today ... A light wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain is also expected to impact the Central Gulf Coast for tonight ... While additional snowfall totals are expected to be very light ,up to an inch perhaps, the wintry mix is expected to impact travel from the Rio Grande Valley into San Antonio, Corpus Christi, and eastward into Southern Louisiana and the remainder of the Central Gulf Coast ... For the temperatures, we certain are feeling it from portions of the Lower Missouri Valley into the Ozarks where highs may not even climb above the single digits for today ... Temperatures for the highs will only expected to be near the freezing mark for portions of Central Texas with these temperatures almost 35 degrees below mid January standareds from Texas into the heartland of our Nation ... Forecast for light snow showers and colder temperatures will begin to spread on eastward for your Wednesday across portions of the Kentucky, Tennessee, through the Central Appalachians, northern Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast with some accumulations ... Coastal redevelopment is in the forecast for a storm system off the New England coastal regions and this will bring moderate snow accumulations from Southern New York into central New England, some of which could be locally heavy at times ... Finally, warming temperatures are in the forecast by Wednesday in the Northern Plains where highs are expected to reach the 30s and 40s given a change in the upper-air flow and the infilteration of warmer temperatures from the West ... A weakening cold frontal boundary is expected to bring some light rain showers on Wednesay, followed by a brief break in the action ... More substantial precipitaiton will arrive on Wednesday afternoon and evening bringing the end to a relatively dry weather pattern in the last two weeks ... HAVE A GREAT TUESDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster / Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
MONDAY, JANUARY 15TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 as well as NO THUNDERSTORMS in the forecast anywhere across the Nation as well ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a cold frontal boundary expecting to dip southward for today's forecast, reaching Central Texas by this evening, and the Western Gulf Coast by Tuesday AM .. Gusty northerly winds are expected and will begin to usher in the arctic air in the wake of the frontal boundary with max temps to be roughly 15 to as much as 35 degrees below mid January standards across the Central and Northern Plains for the highs today ... Given the facts this is the coldest time of the year, this translates to highs below zero for the majority of the Dakotas with well below freezing for highs across areas as far south as the Northern Texas Panhandle into Northern Arkansas for today's highs ... Bundle Up indeed! As this cold frontal boundary continues southward through Texas tonight, it is expected to encounter a surge of northward flowing Gulf of Mexico moisture, this will allow for some wintry mix of precipitation extending across Central Texas, across the ArkLaTex and into the Lower Mississippi Valley .. Snowfall should be the main precipitation type from far Northeastern Texas into and across the Mississippi River Valley, but sleet and freezing rain are expected for Central and Southern Texas starting this evening and lasting through early Tuesday PM ... Minor accumulations (1-2.5", with locally up to 3") could cause significant travel delays given these portions of the Southern states are not accustomed to handling icy conditions ... The modified arctic air is expecting to proceed into the South and Eastern portion of the Nation through Wednesday, weakening some in its potency as it reaches the Eastern Seaboard ... However, temperatures will be forecast to be cold enough to support some snowfall potential across the Central Appalachians into the Northern Mid-Atlantic region with accumulations possible by late on Wednesday AM .. A coastal low pressure storm system is expected to organize off the New England Coastal areas during the course of the day on Wednesday which could very well bring some moderate snowfall accumlations into the New England region for mid week ... Finally, temperatures will begin a moderating trend for the Northern Plains by the middle of the upcoming week ahead while temperatures across the Western portions of the Nation remain above mid January standards ... Rainfall associated with a cold frontal boundary will reach the West Coast for tonight, but stay relatively light compared to the previous system as the frontal boundary is expected to dissipate inland ... After a short break, a second and much stronger push of moisture off the Pacific is expected to impact the West Coast by the beginning mid to late on Wednesday ... HAVE A GREAT MONDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Your Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst, SEMCF and TRAPT David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
SUNDAY, JANUARY 14TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 as well as NO THUNDERSTORMS in the forecast anywhere across the Nation as well ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has the biggest story through Tuesday being the cold air inflitering and persistent over the Plains into the Midwest .. While the colder air in entrenched, this may only break a handful of records, snow and wintry mix is expected for locations in the South who do not typically see any wintry precipitation ... The strong cold frontal boundary will proceed into the Northern Plains for today's forecast not only to reinforce the Arctic air, but to bring a Clipper system that will bring in some light snow showers with light accumulations, locally higher totals could be expected in the upslope regions of the Central and Northern High Plains through Monday and near the track of the surface low through the Upper Midwest and Upper Mississippi Valley going into the Great Lakes region for Monday Night into Tuesday ... Temperatures are expected to be forecast near normal for today across the Central and Northern Plains, but by Monday, the highs will stay below zero for the majority of the Dakotas into Minnesota and sub-freezing highs will spread and reach as far south as Northern Texas Panhandle into Northern Oklahoma ... These readings will be nearly 35 degrees below mid January standards ... The anomalous cold will continue in the forecast for the South and Eastern portions of the Nation for Tuesday and by the time this frontal boundary reaches the Southern Plains, a rain/snow mix is expected to transition to freezing rain/sleet and eventually some snow showers as the colder air infilter the region into Central Texas .. Light accumulations will also be a possibility for Southern Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Northern Louisiana for Monday night into Tuesday .... Finally, on the agenda, out in the Western regions of the Nation, warm and mainly dry conditions will stay in place until a cold frontal boundary reaches the West Coast by early on Tuesday morning bringing the next round of rainfall from Central California to Oregon and Washington ... This first round of anticipated rainfall is expected to be beneficial given the below average precipitation over the past few weeks for this region, but heavier rainfall will be a possibility for the Pacific Northwest and Central/Northern California by late in the week ahead ... Stay Tuned! HAVE A GREAT SUNDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
SATURDAY, JANUARY 13TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will be NULL across the entire lower 48 as well as NO THUNDERSTORMS in the forecast anywhere across the Nation as well ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a very powerful cold frontal boundary continuing to proceed throughout the Northeast for today's forecast, following by some very sharp temperature drops in the wake of the boundary ... 24 hour temperatures swings have been noticed behind the frontal boundary from 20 to as much as 40 degrees from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coastal region, and these dramatic changes will translate into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast for today's forecast .. Temperatures are falling already this morning behind the front and will not rise any further during the course of today ... Locally heavy rainfall with FLOOD ALERTS in effect for New England will change this morning to freezing rain and sleet followed by locally heavy snowfall on the back end of the system impacting portions of Northern New York into Northern New England .. The greatest threat for freezing rain ice accumulations is expected from Southern New Hampshire into Eastern Maine with up to a tenth of an inch possible ... The quick-progressive system will bring an end to the majority of the snowfall by early afternoon .... Across the Northern Plains into Kansas and Missouri, high temperatures today are expected to be almost 25 degrees below mid January standards, but warning is expected for Sunday ahead of another cold frontal boundary reinforcing the colder air from Canada ... Expecting near to slightly above average for mid January standards for Sunday anywhere from the central Plains to North Dakota and Montana ... However, another strong cold frontal boundary will bring a likely shot of light snow showers by Monday morning with a surge of colder air bringing the temperatures back to reality, below mid January standards ... In fact, we've seen Monday's forecast highs becoming colder than today's forecast ranging between 15 to as much as 35 degrees below the average ... Finally, noticing some upper-level ridging dominating the pattern across the Western areas of the Nation throughout the weekend allowing for drier conditions with temperatures above mid January standards ... A change in the pattern is anticipated starting on Monday with the arrival of the cold frontal boundary to the West Coast along with rain showers from northern California to the Pacific Northwest .... HAVE A GREAT SATURDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel
FRIDAY, JANUARY 12TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat will have a few strong to severe storm a possibility across portions of the Coastal Carolina for this evening ... A few storms could contain damaging gusty winds ... A few thunderstorms are a possibility ahead of the frontal boundary moving from the Ohio Valley to the Eastern Seaboard ... This will stretch from Central New England through the Mid-Atlantic and down into the Eastern Gulf Coastal region into the Florida Peninsula ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a very powerful cold frontal boundary located between the Mississippi River and the Appalachians for this morning, this is expected to proceed on eastward during the course of today's outlook and eventually clear the entire Eastern Seaboard by Saturday PM ... Although, it will be mainly cloudy, today's highs will be in the 50s for the majority of New England to the lower 70s for portions of the Mid-Atlantic states .. The warmer temperatures combined with the rainfall may cause some dangerous flooding conditions over snow covered surfaces and near partially frozen rivers from the Central Appalachians into Central New England ... Be aware of this and report the flooding to the National Weather Service ... A sharp temperature gradient is being monitored in the wake and ahead of the powerful frontal boundary with 24 hour temperatures swings of 20 to as much as 49 degrees expected, greatest concentration will be a cross the Northern locations ... The transition to colder temperatures will be co-located with the rainfall changing to freezing rain, sleet, and eventually snowfall for the majority of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys into the interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast today and tonight ... It appear locations along the I-95 corridor along and WEST will likely see some sort of frozen precipitation from this system between Wilmington DE to Boston .. Heaviest concentration of snowfall is expected from northwestern Pennsylvania into far northern New York where upwards of snowfall accumulations to a foot is expected by Saturday AM ... The northern Plains are expecting to see another brutally cold day with high temperatures at or below zero for the majority of today's outlook with the anomalous cold stretching down to the Central Gulf Coastal region ... Forecast high temperatures will be in the 40s for Southern Louisiana for today through the weekend, mainly about 25 degrees BELOW mid January standards ... Finally, light to locally moderate snowfall is in the forecast for the higher terrain from the Washington Cascades into the Central and Northern Rockies tied to a weakening Pacific frontal system and resulting upslope lift through Saturday AM ... Rain showers will stay in the forecast for the Pacific Northwest, but mainly confined to mostly coastal regions of Washington through Saturday with partial clearing expected by the afternoon hours as the upper-level ridging builds over the Western portions of the Nation .... HAVE A GREAT FRIDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Forecaster and Lead Weather Analyst David L Saurer Good Morning ... I would like to apologize, firsthand. I unexpectedly lost my internet services back in December due to financial hardship .. I have now re-established the service and now can return to posting the national forecast on our website from this day forward ... I apologize for the inconvenience. Thank You ... Your forecast begins now ....
Morning Edition of the National Storm Channel THURSDAY, JANUARY 11TH, 2018 Assistant Forecaster / Social Media Coordinator David L Saurer SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Today's Severe Weather threat is NON EXISTENT for the Lower 48 ... Isolated to some widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible for this afternoon and evening across portions of the Gulf Coastal region through the Mississippi Valley ... We could also see a few isolated thunderstorms across portions of the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic with the warm sector and southerly winds ahead of a strong storm system out of the Plains .... Instability will be limited to allow anything severe ... NATIONAL FORECAST: Today's outlook has a very powerful cold frontal boundary with the backend of the frontal boundary having the surge of Arctic air will proceed through eastward from the Plains through the Mississippi Valley for today's outlook .. Late tonight into Friday, this frontal boundary is expected to proceed into the Ohio and Tennessee Valley in addition to the Southeast ... Finally, by Friday evening and overnight through Saturday AM, the cold frontal boundary will approach the Eastern Seaboard and linger into New England for Saturday night ... Precipitation is expected to follow in the wake of the frontal boundary over the next few days -- and with temperatures falling rapidly, wintry mix along with the snowfall will be a strong possibility. For today's forecast, the heaviest mixed precipitation along with the ice will occur along the western edge of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys with the heaviest snowfall axis in the Upper Midwest / Upper Great Lakes in addition to portions of the Ohio Valley ... Wintry mix will spread the axis into the interior New England and Northeast along with Central portions of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys for Friday's outlook ... In addition to this, heavy snowfall can be expected along the Lower Great Lakes ... This winter storm system will proceed into New England for Saturday's forecast by having the bulk of the wintry mix and snowfall in the region ... Travel is expected to be very hazardous through the Plains to the Northeast with the icy conditions in the forecast .. Rainfall and embedded thunderstorms are possible in the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic ahead of the system for the next few days as this frontal system proceeds throughout the regions ... Many winter weather alerts in effect, check with your local National Weather Service pages on social media or website for the details (weather.gov) A Pacific storm system with an associated frontal boundary is approaching the Pacific Northwest for today's forecast -- bringing along an increasing chance for precipitation throughout the region along with the Northern Rockies ... This activity will continue into early Friday morning due to the Pacific onshore flow; however, it is expected to lighten up by tomorrow evening ... Heavy snowfall is expected across the higher elevations of the Washington Cascades and the Northern Rockies ... Some of this precipitation is expected to linger Friday night into Saturday's forecast -- thus lighter amounts of higher elevation snowfall could be expected as well ... By Saturday evening, the conditions are expected to improve with tampering of the precipitation shield. Finally, the last agenda of today's outlook has the very frigid conditions following the wake of the cold frontal boundary with another Arctic invasion ... High temperatures are expected to be below zero throughout the Northern Plains for today's outlook .. and temperatures below freezing across the Central Plains and Upper Midwest ... These temperatures are almost 30 degrees below standards for mid January .. Consequently, WIND CHILL ADVISORIES are in effect for portions of the Northern High Plains and Northern Plains as the wind chill factor are forecast to reach 30 below zero values ... In contrast, areas to the East of the Mississippi Valley will experience temperatures almost 35 degrees above mid January standards ... By Saturday, the majority of areas in the Eastern portions of the Nation will be near or below average, with the exception of the Mid-Atlantic and Coastal New England .... HAVE A GREAT THURSDAY and REMEMBER to REMAIN WEATHER AWARE! Respectfully Yours, Lead Weather Forecaster and Weather Analyst David L Saurer |